SOMALIA
Turkish-brokered Ethiopia-Somalia talks on MOU dispute scheduled for March in Ankara. Mogadishu demands withdrawal of recognition of Somaliland port agreement as precondition.
Morning Brief
<strong>[DEMO] Federal-Amhara ceasefire negotiations entered a third week</strong> with no breakthrough on the core political questions of administrative boundaries and transitional security force composition. Two diplomatic sources confirmed that AU mediators have proposed a phased framework, beginning with humanitarian corridor access, but regional force representatives have rejected preconditions for withdrawal from contested zones in western Gondar.
SUDAN
Humanitarian corridor from Port Sudan to Darfur opened for second consecutive week under RSF-SAF tacit agreement. WFP reports 14 trucks delivered to El Fasher.
KENYA
Nairobi deployed additional KDF units to Marsabit and Turkana following influx of approximately 12,000 Ethiopian nationals. UNHCR establishing temporary registration points.
DJIBOUTI
Chinese naval facility expansion at Doraleh continues. New pier construction visible in commercial satellite imagery acquired February 10.
Watchlist — Unverified
Monitoring Notice
Eritrea-Djibouti border: Unconfirmed reports of troop movements near Ras Doumeira. The Horn Dispatch is monitoring but has not met verification threshold.
This item has not met The Horn Dispatch verification threshold and is published as a monitoring notice only.
Monitoring Notice
Ethiopian birr: Parallel market rate widened to 40% premium over official rate. Central bank foreign reserve position undisclosed since Q3 2025.
This item has not met The Horn Dispatch verification threshold and is published as a monitoring notice only.